Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.001968 0.002161 0.002355 0.002563 0.002781 0.003001 0.003240
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.001744 0.002038 0.002343 0.002679 0.003039 0.003412 0.003824
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001420 0.001779 0.002164 0.002600 0.003079 0.003585 0.004156
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001176 0.001585 0.002036 0.002564 0.003154 0.003789 0.004517
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001008 0.001460 0.001974 0.002589 0.003292 0.004058 0.004947
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000853 0.001334 0.001899 0.002591 0.003396 0.004287 0.005332
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000749 0.001258 0.001875 0.002647 0.003557 0.004576 0.005783
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000656 0.001187 0.001850 0.002695 0.003707 0.004850 0.006216
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000567 0.001111 0.001813 0.002724 0.003830 0.005092 0.006610
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000455 0.000992 0.001712 0.002667 0.003846 0.005206 0.006855
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000379 0.000914 0.001657 0.002664 0.003922 0.005387 0.007176
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000319 0.000852 0.001619 0.002677 0.004015 0.005586 0.007515
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000275 0.000819 0.001628 0.002766 0.004220 0.005940 0.008064
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000243 0.000801 0.001660 0.002886 0.004468 0.006350 0.008685
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000164 0.000685 0.001542 0.002803 0.004461 0.006456 0.008950
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000111 0.000599 0.001460 0.002765 0.004506 0.006623 0.009289
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000549 0.001428 0.002791 0.004633 0.006890 0.009746
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000492 0.001380 0.002793 0.004727 0.007115 0.010153
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000462 0.001373 0.002850 0.004892 0.007428 0.010666
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000021 0.000432 0.001362 0.002901 0.005047 0.007727 0.011163
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000010 0.000397 0.001339 0.002931 0.005174 0.007991 0.011617
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000335 0.001259 0.002872 0.005179 0.008100 0.011881
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000296 0.001218 0.002868 0.005256 0.008300 0.012254